Data: Softwood lumber – Global outlook 2025-2030

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Data file for report Softwood lumber – Tariffs, turbulence and new trade flows 

Global outlook 2025-2030

Published: October 2025  //  Authors: Glen O’Kelly (O’Kelly Acumen), Håkan Ekström (Global Wood Trends)

 

Section Page Contents
1: Introduction: Global lumber market overview 2000-24
9 Global softwood lumber market size, 2000-2024
10 Global softwood lumber demand, 2000-2024
13 Global softwood sawnwood demand versus GDP, 2000 and 2024
15 Global softwood lumber supply 2000-2024
17 Softwood lumber regional trade balance, 2000-2024
18 Softwood lumber prices in key regions, 2000-2025
19 Global softwood lumber trade-flows 2024e
20 US lumber price index, real terms, 2000-2025
2.1: Regional dynamics – United States
23 US share of global softwood lumber demand and production, 2000-2024
26 US softwood lumber demand by segment, 2005-2024
27 US softwood lumber demand vs. housing starts and GDP growth, 2000-2024
28 US housing starts forecasts
30 Demand-Supply of US homes, 1990-2025
31 US housing starts – long-run forecast, and drivers of housing demand
32 US softwood lumber supply-demand balance, 2000-2025
34 US lumber import tariffs – Effective October 14, 2025
35 Estimated US softwood lumber supply costs, 2025 – With Oct.14 tariffs
36 US domestic softwood lumber production, 2000-2025
37 Annual change in softwood lumber capacity, US South, 2015-2027
38 US forest growth – drain1 by state, 2021-242
2.2: Regional dynamics – Canada
44 Canada softwood lumber production by use, and export by market, 2000-25
48 Canada softwood lumber demand development, 2000-2024
49 Canadian softwood lumber production, 2000-2025
50 Canadian softwood AAC and harvest 2022, and AAC 2000-2022, by province
51 B.C. softwood Annual Allowable Cut and harvest, 1990-2024
52 B.C. softwood sawlog costs, 2010-2025
2.3: Regional dynamics – Europe
58 Europe share of global softwood lumber demand and production, 2000-2024
59 Europe softwood lumber demand by country, 2024
60 European softwood lumber demand development, 2000-2024
62 EU Construction Confidence
63 European interest rates (MRO1)
64 European softwood lumber supply-demand balance, 2000-2024
65 European softwood lumber production and consumption by region, 2024e
66 European forest growth and fellings on forest available for wood supply, 2024e
67 Forest damage and harvests, Central Europe1, 2015-2024
71 European overseas exports of softwood lumber 2010-2024
2.4: Regional dynamics – China
76 China share of global softwood lumber demand and production, 2000-2024
77 China softwood lumber demand development, 2000-2024
79 China property sales and property prices, 2010-2025e
80 China demographics forecast, 2000-2035
82 China softwood lumber supply-demand balance, 2000-2024
84 China softwood sawlog imports, 2000-2024
85 China import of softwood logs and lumber, 2000-2024
86 China imports of softwood lumber 2000-2024, imports by source 2024
2.5: Regional dynamics – Other regions
90 Global softwood lumber demand by region 2024
91 MENA softwood lumber demand development, 2000-2024
92 MENA softwood lumber lumber imports by source, 2019 and 2024
93 Asian softwood sawnwood demand versus GDP, 2000-2024
94 Global softwood lumber production by region 2024
95 Russia softwood lumber production
96 Area of softwood plantations in leading Southern Hemisphere countries
3: Global market lumber outlook 2025-30
99 Forecast GDP growth, global and by main regions
100 Global economic outlook, 2025-30
101 Global softwood lumber demand forecast 2024-2030 – Base case
102 Global softwood lumber production forecast 2024-2030 – Base case